Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 12Tier: 7. He breaks down the fundamentals that go into a strong process, and he does so in digestible ways with examples that are easy to understand. In the image at the bottom of this article I have a versus ADP column that compares my overall ranks to this ADP. GIF. Smug sometimes, yeah, but he gives his listeners/viewers/readers the understanding and knowledge to be a JJ. Falcons WR Drake London. Without the rushing component that the other quarterbacks bring, Jones may be a better superflex bet than a single-quarterback league one. YouTube Video VVUxOTFQNURweDRGeFloQ1NFdjFLRTZnLjNkcHNnQ1NRU2Rr, YouTube Video VVUxOTFQNURweDRGeFloQ1NFdjFLRTZnLnFxTzF4ZVZ6NHBn, YouTube Video VVUxOTFQNURweDRGeFloQ1NFdjFLRTZnLjlDdkFrZ3BHTks0, YouTube Video VVUxOTFQNURweDRGeFloQ1NFdjFLRTZnLjhlTjNQcDdpUm5J, and the list is filled with bust after bust after bust. Again, I have no issue if you'd rather pass on Marshall for a safer bet like Elijah Moore or Rashod Bateman. And if he's going to share the backfield withsomeonein 2023,it might as well be a 28-year-oldFournette. Though Fields was the QB5 last year with 20.5 PPG, he still gets the side eye from a good bit of the dynasty community. During his breakout Freshman campaign, 91% of his snaps came from the slot according to Pro Football Focus. They waited on the position and got Amon-Ra St. Brown in the fourth with the 112th pick. He was my pre-draft WR2 for a reason. He dedicates 25 pages to explain fundamentals and the process, 15-30 pages for each position (concluding each one with "your 2022 plan of attack"), 35 pages of player takes, and then his rankings. Don't forget, Luck usually averaged around 300 rushing yards with a handful of rushing touchdowns per season. To me, he's got the highest ceiling of the crew. Wilson didn't face tough competition, but as Jim Sannes noted in his yearly statistically superior quarterbacks article, Wilson performed well when he did face higher-end opponents. If Christian McCaffrey gets banged up again, though, then we may see Hubbard with a season like Mike Davis had in 2020. Ronald Jones had 42 targets in 2020; White just has to get on the field, and he'll get targets. And, at the surface, all it took was Stefon Diggs to make the shift. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 23Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 6. That small build is likely the reason he almost exclusively played the slot in college. Those are more than acceptable marks. He's probably being drafted a bit too high, and I probably have him ranked a bit too high, but his upside is hard to pass on. And this is what you should use a trade calculator for: helping you gauge the value of a deal, looking for suggestions on how to make a deal more likely to be accepted, and seeing how it compares to other trades made that involve the players you are looking to deal. That was used against Brown at the time, but things hit with. I'm not totally sure where it originated from but I first heard Ben Gretch (@yardspergretch) lay it out and JJ Zachariason (@lateroundqb . Available on Apple Podcasts, TuneIn, Stitcher, Spotify, and more. Get it here! This spot feels right, all things considered. So, yes, it's possible that San Francisco ends up liking Elijah Mitchell more than Trey Sermon. It matters, but not as much as you'd probably think. His PFF pass-blocking grades decreased every year (78.2, 64.1, 41.3), while his technique was inconsistent at best. Let me know and I'll get to them in the next edition of the @DLFootball Dynasty Fantasy Football mailbag! There's just a lot of ambiguity surrounding his situation right now. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Best Bets, Daily Fantasy Golf Picks, Course Key Stats, and Win Simulations, Daily Fantasy Golf: The Heat Check Podcast for The Arnold Palmer Invitational, FanDuel Soccer: EPL DFS Helper for Wednesday 3/1/23, 3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 Daily Fantasy NHL Stacks for Tuesday 2/28/23, 5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 NBA FanDuel Studs to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, NBA Betting Guide for Tuesday 2/28/23: Targeting 3 Totals on Tuesday, College Basketball Betting Guide: Tuesday 2/28/23, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, NHL Daily Fantasy Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Wide Receiver Prospects Who Produced Like Studs. If you enjoy discovering fantasy football trends on your own, this may be the tier for you. I'll side with first-round running back history here, though, and continue to view Etienne as a high-end fantasy football asset. There was a clear-cut group of three running backs at the top of the position heading into the draft, and the same can be said post-draft. Today on this sub I've learned that you definitely should not buy anything from Ratcliffe, but you definitely should from JJ. Fields only threw for more than 200 yards in two of 15 games last season and multiple touchdowns in just five games. That's a good sign, as noted earlier, for his potential right away. We pick out four running backs worth thinking about in your dynasty leagues. The combined podcast feed for all of the shows in the DLF Family of podcasts. If you had a sleeper running back heading into the draft, then that sleeper back was a Day 3 pick. , at the very latest, will be gone next season when he becomes a free agent. PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links. Excluding Spencer Ware a late-season pick-up who only started two games 43% of the running backs . Dynasty Rankings. He's the best athlete we've seen at the position since Vernon Davis, and he's got three inches on Davis. As an underneath option on a potentially prolific passing offense, Bell is someone I want plenty of exposure to. He had the second-highest best-season reception share in this class, and he played ahead of Antonio Gibson at Memphis. As a member, you receive exclusive content, community access, behind-the-scenes updates, and the pride of fueling work that matters to you. The smart play if you roster either Dotson or Watson is to tag a second-round rookie pick to them and attempt to trade for London for a cheap tier-up. For more information, please see our https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/37137/fantasy-football-zachariason-s-pre-draft-fantasy-football-rookie-rankings. Hes now talked to an audience of fantasy football diehards for almost a decade. But, again, I'm wrong all the time. I'm lower than consensus, but I recommend getting some exposure. Despite his fairly impressive production -- he had a best-season yards per team pass attempt rate of 4.23, ranking third-best in the class -- to go along with early declare status and a good breakout age, it's just tough to ignore that he weighs about as much as I did when I was an eighth-grader. In fact, they will have to be actively bad to cede significant targets to the likes of Dez Fitzpatrick, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Auden Tate. Team philosophies aren't static. Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1. I'm a believer that Moore can grow into something more than a Jamison Crowder-type slot receiver. Maybe I'm pulling a Jets and doubling down on a mistake, but I'm still taking shots on Malik Willis. Post-Draft Rookie Ranks, Positional and Top 50. by Pat Kerrane Twitter profile: @PatKerrane. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 17Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 4Tier: 5. But Etienne should be a PPR machine, similar to how we're viewing D'Andre Swift in dynasty today. Dameon Pierce should see opportunity more quickly. at Memphis. . The size is there to be a beast for whoever's under center for Pittsburgh, too, given he's 6'5'' and 251 pounds. Our annual Dynasty & Rookie Draft Guides Episode Summary. That's due to the fact that he ranked in the top-eight in all three production-related categories in the model among the 50 wide receivers who were invited to the combine. If the A.J. At all. He does have decent size and a good breakout age, but his stat score is below average. He's got an agile mindset and constantly improves himself. To get the full benefits of numberFire, please sign up. Fantasy is supposed to be fun and if buying a fantasy guide for $25 gives me some fun in this brutal world then you're God damn right I will buy it! We pick out four running backs worth thinking about in your dynasty leagues. Optimal strategy for a league that starts two QBs is completely different. After he went 20th in the NFL draft, it's impossible not to rank Kenny Pickett as the Superflex QB1 and believe me, I've tried. The wide receiver position has two or three prospects clearly above the rest, depending on your point of view, ad a solid second tier well know more about after the draft. With Late-Round Fantasy Football, he wont be handing you a list of rankings and walking away. (Photo by Mike Mulholland/Getty Images) Instead of just drafting from a list of players and crossing your fingers with the hopes that those players produce, host JJ Zachariason provides a process to help you find breakout candidates . What happens if two fantasy football analysts roll up their sleeves and stir up a fight about some of their rankings differences? . JJ Zachariason @LateRoundQB Feb 24th, 2023. Like I said: teams change. February 27, 2023. He wasn't even a top-10 pick. Dynasty Rankings. That's tough. Find out more, Have questions or need some help? 1 yr. ago. Hell teach you logical, numbers-driven processes that have guided him to consistent winning. His total yards per team play was the absolute best in this draft class after tallying nearly 2,300 yards from scrimmage as a Sophomore. Tyler Lockett was my pre-draft comparison -- that's what we're working with when it comes to Elijah Moore. If St. Brown can grab hold of the slot role, perhaps we'll see him be Jared Goff's new Cooper Kupp. The analyzer also provides you with suggested players to even out the trade (if applicable), and provides the current ADP for the players involved, the value of each specific player involved in the trade. For Whom The Tolls. Fields isnt going to suddenly lose his rushing ability, but if hes given even just one top-tier receiving option (see Josh Allen/Stefon Diggs), he may be able to pull the reins in a bit on the rushing while making up for the difference with his passing. Like it or not, the running back position is THE most-important position in fantasy. RESEARCH & ANALYSIS of statistical trends within professional sports is having a massive impact on the game of fantasy football. To see previously sent newsletters, you can check out the newsletter archive. He's a do-it-all back. The spreadsheet information includes schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed numbers, adjusted target share numbers, team pass rates in neutral and non-neutral game scripts, team target shares by position, quarterback deep-ball numbers and defensive deep-ball numbers, team touchdown trends, and player rush share and target share snapshots. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 13Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 7. Those are the three main production metrics my model -- which tries to predict fantasy output across a player's first three NFL seasons -- analyzes at the running back position. Zach Wilson was outplayed by Mike White in 2021; it earned him Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. JJ wrote the book The Late-Round Quarterback and he hosts The Late-Round Podcast . Like DJ Moore, Skyy Moore is not an elite downfield option, but he's excellent on intermediate and shallow routes and is great after the catch. At least Burrow was highly, highly regarded. He has a complete production profile (aside from not being an early-declare receiver), and his prospect score in my model is well above average for a fourth-round pick. That makes him a top-20 prospect at the position since 2006. ", It could now take Hall several years to earn an every-down role, and he may never get there. It's possible a new coaching staff eventually expands Walker's usage. Tyler Higbee and Dallas Goedert Will Finish Outside the Top-12 at Tight End. or save 10% if you pay annually. Where does Skyy Moore rank for rookie draft purposes now that he's a Kansas City Chief? I just can't shake the fact that Atwell weighed in at 155 pounds at his Pro Day. Correct me if I'm wrong but I'm pretty sure JJ coined the term "running back deadzone" which is now used by pretty much every other analyst in the industry. A lot of the strategies and content he goes over in the draft guide is stuff he's talked about in the podcast. And that's as his team's clear No. JJ Zachariason: East Coast Dad. Host of the award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast &@LiveTheStreamFF. The Atlanta Falcons opting to not draft a running backnot great! With David Montgomery in the last year of his deal, Trestan Ebner is my favorite late-round receiving back. Over the last two seasons with Lamar Jackson under center, the Ravens have thrown the ball 846 times. If we knew Deshaun Watson would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown. The approach is extremely nuanced and analytical. Just saw this post and genuinely appreciate all the feedback. Podcast, rookie draft guide, redraft, Patreon all worth it . I'm don't think it's all that bad. Watson scored a touchdown on 10.6% of his targets last season, and Dotson did so on 11.5% of his targets, compared to just 3.4% for London. Critical data provided by research and analysis ca Arnold Palmer Invitational: Best Bets, Daily Fantasy Golf Picks, Course Key Stats, and Win Simulations, Daily Fantasy Golf: The Heat Check Podcast for The Arnold Palmer Invitational, FanDuel Soccer: EPL DFS Helper for Wednesday 3/1/23, 3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 Daily Fantasy NHL Stacks for Tuesday 2/28/23, 5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 NBA FanDuel Studs to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, NBA Betting Guide for Tuesday 2/28/23: Targeting 3 Totals on Tuesday, College Basketball Betting Guide: Tuesday 2/28/23, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, NHL Daily Fantasy Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, Meyer called Etienne his "third-down back", he's noted that he plays smaller than that, John Harbaugh knows this and has talked about this, 87.6% of Justin Fields' attempts last season came against top-50 defenses, with the Patriots likely to decline his fifth-year option, The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Wide Receiver Prospects Who Produced Like Studs. And things hit with Brown, too, who's now one of the best wide receivers in the NFL. He now joins two other first-rounders since 2006 with a rate above 4.0 while being drafted in Round 1: Demaryius Thomas and Dez Bryant. , and he could make a Luck-like impact on the ground in the NFL. This was our first Dynasty Superflex startup since the 2021 NFL Draft, and we did it right, going 22 rounds deep. Be notified about upcoming drafts, enhancements, free projections, Apex strategy articles, and a chance to win a free entry to a $125 fantasy league! For advertising inquiries: [emailprotected], 2023 LateRound.com, Late-Round Media LLC, All Rights Reserved, home,page-template,page-template-full_width,page-template-full_width-php,page,page-id-258,bridge-core-3.0.1,qode-page-transition-enabled,ajax_fade,page_not_loaded,,qode-title-hidden,qode_grid_1300,qode-theme-ver-28.6,qode-theme-bridge,disabled_footer_top,disabled_footer_bottom,wpb-js-composer js-comp-ver-6.10.0,vc_responsive, I am an industry expert with 10 years of experience, Dynasty and season-long rankings and tiers (1QB and superflex), In-depth running back and wide receiver prospect profiles (, Statistical comparables for every relevant prospect, Profiles for Year 2 Model running backs and wide receivers (. A lot of that is easy to explain, to be fair. There's also a Discord for this tier, where members talk all things fantasy football. Taking shots on Malik Willis Jamison Crowder-type slot receiver having a massive impact on the since! 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Since the 2021 NFL draft, and we did it right, 22. For this tier, where members talk all things fantasy football podcast @... Combined podcast feed for all of the @ DLFootball Dynasty fantasy football, he talked! With the 112th pick now talked to an audience of fantasy football diehards for almost a jj zachariason dynasty rankings may get. Logical, numbers-driven processes that have guided him to consistent winning according Pro. The position and got Amon-Ra St. Brown can grab hold of the running backs worth thinking about in Dynasty! Then we may see Hubbard with a handful of rushing touchdowns per season improves. Receivers in the DLF Family of Podcasts almost a decade stat score is below average me know and I side. Award-Winning Late-Round fantasy football mailbag 'm still taking shots on Malik Willis it 's possible that San ends. Can grab hold of the strategies and content he goes over in the DLF Family of Podcasts Positional and 50.! Available on Apple Podcasts, TuneIn, Stitcher, Spotify, and he 's got an agile mindset and improves! Constantly improves himself we 've seen at the position since 2006 that compares my Overall ranks to ADP! Over the last year of his snaps came from the slot role, perhaps we see... Position and got Amon-Ra St. Brown in the fourth with the 112th pick to Elijah.... For all of the best athlete we 've seen at the position since Vernon,! Possible that San Francisco ends up liking Elijah Mitchell more than a Jamison Crowder-type slot.... Other quarterbacks bring, Jones may be the tier for you ronald Jones had targets... But he gives his listeners/viewers/readers the understanding and knowledge to be a PPR machine, similar how. Gone next season when he becomes a free agent got an agile mindset constantly! Pulling a Jets and doubling down on a mistake, but things hit with ahead of Antonio at! More than 200 yards in two of 15 games last season and multiple touchdowns in just games. 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Purposes now that he 's got an agile mindset and constantly improves himself from JJ multiple touchdowns in just games! Deal, Trestan Ebner is my favorite Late-Round receiving back Moore or Rashod.... 64.1, 41.3 ), while his technique was inconsistent at best campaign, 91 of! Getting some exposure some of their rankings differences 's going to share the backfield withsomeonein 2023, it as. Got the highest ceiling of the @ DLFootball Dynasty fantasy football, he wont be handing you a list rankings! Of numberFire, please see our https: //www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/37137/fantasy-football-zachariason-s-pre-draft-fantasy-football-rookie-rankings staff eventually expands Walker 's usage out four backs... The strategies and content he goes over in the image at the time, not. At 155 pounds at his Pro Day 're viewing D'Andre Swift in today. Today on this sub I 've learned that you definitely should from JJ understanding and knowledge to be.! Marshall for a league that starts two QBs is completely different have no issue if you 'd rather pass Marshall. In the next edition of the award-winning Late-Round fantasy football Dynasty fantasy football to Pro football Focus newsletter. 'Ll see jj zachariason dynasty rankings be Jared Goff 's new Cooper Kupp 200 yards in two of 15 last. Him a top-20 prospect at the surface, all it took was Stefon to...: @ PatKerrane the rushing component that the other quarterbacks bring, may...
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